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International Conference on India-China-US Triangle
The Centre for National Renaissance (CNR)-in association with the John Fairbank Centre, Harvard University , US, and the Institute for International Studies & Centre for China in the World Economy, Tsinghua University, China -is organizing an International Conference on India-China-US Triangle

The Conference will be held during January 21-23, 2008, in the campus of the School for Communication & Management Studies (SCMS), Muttom, near Cochin , Kerala.

India, China, and the US are the three most populous nations of the world, together comprising about 43 per cent of the global population. Measured in purchasing power parity rates, these three countries' economies have the three largest GDPs in the world. The US is already a pre-eminent economic and military superpower-in fact, the sole global superpower today. India and China are among the fastest growing economies and each of the two nations possesses a large military force. Clearly, therefore, the bilateral and trilateral relations of these three nations in the coming decades will be extraordinary global interest. How these relations, bilaterally and trilaterally, will be possibly structured in alternative scenarios is worthy of serious study. Hence the purpose of the Conference. And hence the simple title: 'India-China-US Triangle.'

The Conference would like to fruitfully address four questions and read invited papers for each of the questions. These questions are:

Will India and China continue to grow economically and militarily in the coming decades or are there obstacles to such growth? Is there a possibility, and if so how serious, of either or both economies overheating or suffering from financial volatility that could retard the rate of progress? What are the areas of relative strengths and sources of economic growth that are promising enough for either or both countries becoming developed nation(s) on hat basis sometime before the middle of the 21st century? What are the implications for the US in such a scenario?

Will India and China as candidates for developed country status decades hence be an economic opportunity or a threat to the projected US economic situation in terms of jobs, access to energy and innovations? Can the two countries separately or jointly potentially be partner(s) of the US for global economic prosperity? Or will India and China find it economically more advantageous to partner against the US in global economic competition? What policies can the US pursue to alter this possible outcome?

Will the US be able to strategically partner with India or China, or both for a new world order? Which of the four future alternative scenarios is likely: India and the US against China; China and India as an alternative power centre to the US; the US and China, with Pakistan, against India; or India, China and the US as a global triumvirate?

How politically stable will India and China be decades hence? Are the institutions sufficiently developed to withstand the shocks of growth in terms rising inter- and intraregional inequities, demand for greater civil liberties, and rising terrorists threats? Is there a significant probability of an upheaval or jettisoning of the reforms trend towards the market system and democracy? What is the role for the US in such a context?

The Conference Committee comprises:
Mr Salman Haider, former Foreign Secretary, Government of India

Prof Li Da Kuei, Professor of Economics, Tsinghua University, China

Prof Roderick Macfarquhar, Professor of Government, Harvard University, US

Prof M.D. Nalapat, Professor of Peace Studies, Manipal University, India

Dr G.P.C. Nayar, Chairman, SCMS Group, India

Prof Dwight Perkins, Professor of Economics, Harvard University, US

Mr N. Ram, Editor-in-chief, The Hindu, India

Dr Subramanian Swamy, Chairman, CNR

Prof Yan Xue tong, Director, Institute of International Studies, Tsinghua University, China

Prof R. Vaidyanathan, Professor of Finance, IIM, Bangalore, India